Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Irtysh Omsk		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.55	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.85	2.8	2.42
	3.1	3	2.58
	3	2.8	2.5	Watch
	3.02	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.48)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)	2.53 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
32.2%

Draw
31.3%

Akron Tolyatti
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

21.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irtysh Omsk's form might have worsened.

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irtysh Omsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	48%	16%

Irtysh Omsk - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Irtysh will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Akron will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Irtysh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Fakel	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Krylya Sovetov	0:4 ✺
13.09.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Irtysh Omsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTLL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Tom Tomsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	3:0 ✺
19.09.20	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLTL

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