Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Irtysh Omsk		Fakel

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4	3.4	1.87
	4.5	3.4	1.65	Watch
	4.3	3.3	1.71
	4.44	3.41	1.89
	4.2	3.1	1.88	Watch
	4.1	3.38	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
21.8%

Draw
27.5%

Fakel
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.9%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

20.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Irtysh Omsk - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Irtysh has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fakel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Fakel have a series of home games.

Fakel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL
23.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Krylya Sovetov	0:4 ✺
13.09.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Irtysh Omsk	2:1 ✺
09.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
05.09.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLL
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
23.09.20	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3 ✺
13.09.20	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Fakel - Orenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWL

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