Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Irtysh Omsk		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.9	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.91
	4.6	3.15	1.7
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	4.5	3.19	1.96
	4.2	3.1	1.88	Watch
	4.33	3.18	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.9)	3.12 ↑ (3.07)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
21.7%

Draw
29.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

30.2%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

23.4%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irtysh Omsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baltika Kaliningrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Irtysh Omsk - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Irtysh is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Baltika is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Irtysh have a series of guest games.

In this match Baltika is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Irtysh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Irtysh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL
11.04.21	Krasnodar 2 - Irtysh Omsk	2:0 ✺
07.04.21	Akron Tolyatti - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Torpedo Moscow - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Irtysh Omsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
24.03.21	Fakel - Irtysh Omsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
11.04.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tom Tomsk	0:1 ✺
07.04.21	Chertanovo - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
24.03.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.10.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Irtysh Omsk	3:2
Club Friendly
20.07.20	Irtysh Omsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2

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