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Current Win Probability
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 32.3%
Draw 29.8%
Baltika Kaliningrad 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.2%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
29.9%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's form might have worsened.
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Antipin S. (G) 7. Chukanov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 20. Laykin M. 8. Lomakin A. (C) 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 28. Molteninov I. 96. Rukas T. 88. Samoilov D. 12. Shiryaev M.
1. Svinov I. (G) 16. Andrade K. 59. Avanesyan T. 70. Eldarushev A. 4. Gassama N. 23. Glushkov N. 11. Kovalev Y. 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. (C) 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Saus V.
Substitutes
6. Batyrev A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 4. Denisov R. 13. Grigorjev D. 27. Lutashev V. 18. Nadolskiy A. 9. Savelyev M. 50. Shamov E. (G) 10. Shipunov T. 11. Tikhonov D. 44. Tikhonov M. 23. Ushatov K.
10. Alex Fernandes 57. Begun D. 67. Borisko M. (G) 25. Bozov N. 3. Kalachev I. 90. Kamaev N. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 96. Mokhammad A. 95. Petrov I. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.
Grishchenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Chukanov A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Nikishin K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Rukas T. (Own goal),
56', Samoilov D. 🟨,
58', Kovalev Y. ↓, Terentjev D. ↑,
60', Samoilov D. ↓, Batyrev A. ↑,
60', Molteninov I. ↓, Tikhonov D. ↑,
60', Laykin M. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
72', Glushkov N. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
72', Nikishin K. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
74', Shiryaev M. ↓, Grigorjev D. ↑,
74', Tikhonov D. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
74', Mazurin A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Lomakin A. ⚽,
88', Saus V. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
90+4', Petrov I. 🟨,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Yenisey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Yenisey won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.
Russia
Watch
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Antipin S. (G) 
Andrade K. 
Avanesyan T. 
Gassama N. 
Kovalev Y. 
Alex Fernandes 
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