Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez (Metapán)


	Isidro Metapán		Santa Tecla

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.6	5	Watch
	1.69	3.65	5.35
	1.69	3.58	5.35
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.62	3.55	5.06	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)	5.09 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isidro Metapán
56.5%

Draw
25.5%

Santa Tecla
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Isidro Metapán's form might have worsened.

Santa Tecla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Isidro Metapán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Isidro Metapán won 2.

Isidro Metapán is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Tecla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Tecla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Isidro Metapán is a favorite.

Last 48 head-to-head matches Isidro Metapán won 14 matches, drawn 14 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 54-63.

Including matches at home between the teams Isidro Metapán won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
24.02.24	Jocoro - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Isidro Metapán - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	2:3 ✺
07.02.24	Águila - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTW
- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
18.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Santa Tecla	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Tecla - CD FAS	3:1 ✺
24.01.24	CD Dragón - Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
14.10.23	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	2:3
19.08.23	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	2:0
30.04.23	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	0:1
04.03.23	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	4:2
15.10.22	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	4:1
21.09.22	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	3:1
16.07.22	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	1:0

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