Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Cacahuatique

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7.00
	1.37	4.30	6.50
	1.40	4.70	7.80
	1.39	4.6	7.4	Watch
	1.38	4.45	6.80
	1.37	4.74	7.90	Watch
	1.36	4.40	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	4.5 ↑ (3.85)	7.11 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
66.7%

Draw
20.4%

Cacahuatique
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luis Ángel Firpo's performance.

Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luis Ángel Firpo - Cacahuatique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 5.

Luis Ángel Firpo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cacahuatique is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cacahuatique may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Luis Ángel Firpo is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Luis Ángel Firpo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luis Angel Firpo	13	7	4	2	23:9	14	25
11	Cacahuatique	14	2	5	7	14:24	-10	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
20.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Atlético Balboa	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
19.09.26	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cacahuatique - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	INCA-Aruba - Cacahuatique	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.04.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Cacahuatique	1:0
El Salvador Copa Presidente
25.02.26	Cacahuatique - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:1
El Salvador Primera Division
04.02.26	Cacahuatique - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:3
11.10.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Cacahuatique	3:0
10.08.25	Cacahuatique - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:3
03.05.25	Cacahuatique - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1
08.03.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Cacahuatique	1:1

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