Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Ismailia Stadium (Ismailia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ismaily		Pharco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	2.68	2.1	Watch
	6.5	3.13	1.78
	3.73	2.4	2.6	Watch
	5.5	2.88	1.75
	5.41	3.19	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.08)	2.86 ↑ (2.44)	2 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
18.8%

Draw
33.4%

Pharco
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

38.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

36.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ismaily's form might have worsened.

Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pharco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ismaily, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pharco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	52.6%	42.1%

Ismaily - Pharco Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Pharco will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pharco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): -1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Abdelaal I.	14. Adel M.
40. Abdelsalam A.	31. Ahmed M.
35. Ahmed O.	24. El Bahrawi A. (C)
23. Ayman A.	13. El Mallah Y.
50. Fattah A.	7. El Tayeb K.
44. Hassan A.	4. Fakhri M.
33. Katkot A.	21. Ghouma A.
32. Khatary M.	16. Nadim M. (G)
13. Mahrous A. (C)	32. Ndiay A.
14. Mohamed Sukar H.	44. Rashdan A.
34. Shehata K.	10. Yasser M.
Substitutes
66. Ashraf B.	22. Ezz M.
39. El Atty M.	9. Farhat M.
29. El Behairy M.	70. Fathy M.
30. El Said A.	20. Halimo
99. Hosny M. (G)	57. Reda H.
18. Otaka M.	23. Sayed M.
77. Saber H.	25. Shika M. (G)
88. Samir M.	37. Tamer M.
Coaches
. Galal K.	. El Ashri T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Fakhri M. ⚽, Ndiay A. (A),
24', El Bahrawi A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Fakhri M. ⚽, El Tayeb K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdelsalam A. ↓, Saber H. ↑,
54', Fattah A. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
64', Ahmed M. 🟥,
65', Ahmed O. ↓, Ashraf B. ↑,
65', Abdelaal I. ↓, El Behairy M. ↑,
66', Fakhri M. ↓, Reda H. ↑,
68', Ndiay A. ↓, Ezz M. ↑,
69', Yasser M. ↓, Fathy M. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Mohamed Sukar H. ⚽, Katkot A. (A),
73', El Mallah Y. ↓, Sayed M. ↑,
73', Adel M. ↓, Halimo ↑,
77', Hassan A. ↓, El Atty M. ↑,
81', Rashdan A. 🟨,
90+1', Shehata K. 🟥,
90+5', Samir M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ismaily - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Pharco - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
23.05.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ismaily	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ismaily - ZED	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTT
- Pharco FC
Egyptian Premier League
22.05.26	Pharco - National Bank of Egypt	0:1 ✺
18.05.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Pharco	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Pharco - Modern Sport	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Pharco	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
26.10.25	Pharco - Ismaily	1:0
26.02.25	Ismaily - Pharco	0:2
04.05.24	Pharco - Ismaily	0:2
22.10.23	Ismaily - Pharco	0:1
08.03.23	Ismaily - Pharco	0:0
23.11.22	Pharco - Ismaily	1:1
06.08.22	Pharco - Ismaily	0:0

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