BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS
Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday
Location: Antonio Elias Ribeiro (Camacan)
Itabuna
Bahia
1
X
2
5.25
3.5
1.55
5
3.6
1.57
6.05
3.86
1.51
5.6
3.6
1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)
5.48 ↑ (5.05)
3.64 ↑ (3.6)
1.55 ↓ (1.59)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Itabuna 16.6%
Draw 24.9%
Bahia 58.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.9%
25.1%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
24.6%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Itabuna - Bahia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Itabuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Bahia have a series of guest games.
In this match Bahia is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.