Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	18:15	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Poland	18:15	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Switzerland	18:15	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Italy U21		Poland U21

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.50	3.90
	1.85	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.8	4.3
	1.83	3.67	4.08	Watch
	1.79	3.65	4.25
	1.83	3.69	3.95	Watch
	1.78	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	4.02 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy U21
51.2%

Draw
25.6%

Poland U21
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Poland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Italy U21 - Poland U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Italy U21 will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Poland U21 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Palmisani L. (G) Frosinone 2. Ahanor H. Crystal Palace 15. Comuzzo P. Torino 4. Chiarodia F. C. B. Monchengladbach 3. Bartesaghi D. AC Milan 21. Pisilli N. AS Roma 16. Faticanti G. Avellino 10. Ndour C. (C) Fiorentina 18. Liberali M. Como 20. Cisse A. AC Milan 11. Koleosho L. Paris FC	1. Lubik M. (G) Wisla 19. Krajewski M. Widzew Lodz 23. Monka W. Lech Poznan 5. Ede B. Dep. A Coruna 3. Gurgul M. Lech Poznan 8. Kowalczyk M. GKS Katowice 15. Kocaba F. Zaglebie 21. Urbanski W. Legia 11. Mazurek B. Salzburg 10. Pienko T. (C) Rakow Czestochowa 20. Bak D. Korona Kielce
Substitutes
14. Berti T. Cremonese 6. Calvani G. Frosinone 9. Camarda F. AC Milan 7. Cherubini L. Benevento 23. Daffara G. (G) Parma 17. Fini S. Frosinone 5. Lipani L. Sassuolo 22. Lulli E. AS Roma 19. Moruzzi B. Avellino	17. Drachal D. Jagiellonia 2. Drapinski I. Samsunspor 18. Duda K. Wisla 13. Luberecki F. Motor Lublin 4. Matysik M. Aris Limassol 9. Mikolajewski D. Luzern 14. Oyedele M. Strasbourg 7. Zewlakow J. Legia 22. Zych O. (G) Vitoria Guimaraes
Coaches
Baldini S.	Brzeczek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Koleosho L. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ndour C. ⚽, Liberali M. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Bak D. ↓, Mikolajewski D. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Ndour C. ⚽,
55', Urbanski W. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
56', Pienko T. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
56', Faticanti G. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
56', Liberali M. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
57', Palmisani L. 🟨,
59', 4 - 0, Lipani L. ⚽, Koleosho L. (A),
62', Cisse A. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Mikolajewski D. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
65', Kocaba F. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
66', 5 - 1, Fini S. ⚽, Lipani L. (A),
72', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Duda K. ↑,
79', Koleosho L. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
85', 5 - 2, Zewlakow J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
86', 6 - 2, Cherubini L. ⚽,

Preview

Bookmakers give the edge to Italy U21 for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Italy U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy U21
UEFA Euro U21
01.10.26	Armenia U21 - Italy U21	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	Italy U21 - Albania U21	1:0 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	0:4 ✺
26.03.26	Italy U21 - North Macedonia U21	4:0 ✺
18.11.25	Montenegro U21 - Italy U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Poland U21
UEFA Euro U21
30.09.26	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	Montenegro U21 - Poland U21	0:1 ✺
18.11.25	North Macedonia U21 - Poland U21	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Poland U21 - Italy U21	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
14.11.25	Poland U21 - Italy U21	2:1
19.06.19	Italy U21 - Poland U21	0:1
Friendly
23.03.17	Poland U21 - Italy U21	1:2

Italy U21 - Poland U21