Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)


	Ituano		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.38	2.94	2.48
	3.1	3	2.38
	3.19	3.13	2.32
	3.2	3	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.37 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
29.6%

Draw
30.9%

Grêmio Novorizontino
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 3. Walber 5. Rodrigo 4. Claudinho 2. Leo Oliveira 8. Miqueias 10. Eduardo Person 7. Vinicius Paiva 6. Eduardo Diniz 11. Leozinho 9. Salatiel	93. Jordi (G) 22. Raul Prata 3. Rafael Donato 37. Cesar Martins 56. Enzo Rocha 33. Renato (C) 5. Geovane 28. Marlon 77. Fabricio Daniel 75. Paulo V. 11. Lucca
Substitutes
23. Aluisio 21. Bruno Alves 17. Bruno Xavier 16. Jonathan 15. Jose Aldo 13. Leo Duarte 14. Marcel Scalese 22. Marlinho 1. Saulo (G) 20. Thonny Anderson 18. Yann Rolim 19. Ze Eduardo	14. Danilo Barcelos 26. Dantas 21. Eduardo 50. Lima S. 12. Lucas Pereira (G) 25. Luisao 9. Neto Pessoa 4. Patrick 16. Reverson 7. Rodolfo 8. Willian Farias
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Cesar Martins ⚽,
24', Cesar Martins ↓, Luisao ↑,
32', Eduardo Person (Pen),
39', Paulo V. 🟨,
43', Claudinho 🟥,
45+6', 1 - 1, Eduardo Person ⚽, Miqueias (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Salatiel ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
46', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Marcel Scalese ↑,
46', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
46', Enzo Rocha ↓, Reverson ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Luisao ⚽,
50', Renato 🟨,
53', Leo Oliveira ↓, Leo Duarte ↑,
53', Marcel Scalese 🟨,
62', Rafael Donato 🟨,
64', Eduardo Person ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
67', Marcel Scalese 🟨,
69', Geovane ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
74', Leozinho ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
81', Lucca ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Rodolfo ⚽, Paulo V. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1.

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novorizontino will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ituano: Neto Berola (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.24	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Chapecoense - Ituano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.03.24	Ituano - São Paulo	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.24	América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.03.24	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 penalties ✺
10.03.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0
20.05.23	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2
19.08.22	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
07.05.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.22	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.08.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	0:0

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