Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 10

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)


	Ituano		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.65	Watch
	5	3.8	1.65
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4.9	3.8	1.61
	5.37	3.86	1.66
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.02	3.74	1.64	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↓ (5.75)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
18.3%

Draw
24.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

24.8%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.6%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Leo Oliveira 3. Joao Vialle 4. Vitao 6. Leo Duarte 8. Aluisio 5. Miqueias 17. Pablo 10. Yann Rolim 7. Vinicius Paiva 9. Ze Carlos	40. Lucao (G) 34. Andres Hurtado 39. Douglas Mendes 2. Realpe L. 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 7. Eric Ramires 10. Lincoln 33. Laquintana I. 18. Borbas T. 17. Bruninho
Substitutes
23. Bruno Alves 21. Felipe Fonseca 13. Gabriel Falcao 20. Jean Pyerre 18. Kaique Clemente 11. Leozinho 14. Marcel Scalese 16. Marlinho 22. Matheus Cadorini 19. Salatiel 1. Saulo (G) 15. Vinicius Poz	1. Cleiton (G) 19. Eduardo Sasha 5. Jadsom Silva 29. Juninho Capixaba 3. Leo Ortiz 36. Luan Candido 4. Lucas Cunha 8. Lucas Evangelista 45. Nathan Mendes 23. Raul 21. Talisson 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Marcinho	Caixinha P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 3.

Ituano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ituano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ituano have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ituano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	São Luiz - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Ituano - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Água Santa - Ituano	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Palmeiras - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa Libertadores
20.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	5:1
13.03.22	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0
28.02.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	2:1
15.03.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	0:3
04.02.15	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
16.02.14	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0
27.03.13	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	1:0

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