Match Info

Date: 6 March 2020, Friday


	Ituano		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.36	2.84	2.82
	2.54	2.88	3.15
	2.4	3	3
	2.52	2.93	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	2.96 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
37.6%

Draw
31.4%

Guaraní Asuncion
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ituano - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	2:1 ✺
22.02.20	Ituano - Santos	2:0 ✺
17.02.20	Ituano - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
09.02.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	Água Santa - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWTT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.03.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.02.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.20	Palmeiras - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.19	Ituano - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
24.02.13	Ituano - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2

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