The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituano 21.8%
Draw 28.5%
Santos 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
27.1%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
26.4%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Ituano - Santos Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santos will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Marcinho 4. Guilherme Mariano 3. Claudinho 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 8. Yann Rolim 5. de Almeida J. V. X. 10. Jose Aldo 11. Bruno Xavier 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva
12. Diogenes (G) 3. Hayner 15. Joao Basso 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 37. Serginho 21. Diego Pituca 20. Giuliano (C) 5. Joao Schmidt 11. Guilherme 19. Wendell
Substitutes
19. Alvaro 14. Erik 21. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Oliveira 22. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 20. Miqueias 17. Neto Berola 16. Richard 18. Rodrigo 23. Salatiel 1. Saulo (G)
2. Alex Nascimento 25. Alison Lopes 9. Furch J. 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 66. Laquintana I. 22. Otero R. 88. Patrick 18. Renan (G) 8. Rincon T. 23. Sandry 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Douglas
Fabio Carille
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Serginho ⚽, Guilherme (A),
32', Serginho 🟨,
45+2', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', de Almeida J. V. X. ↓, Miqueias ↑,
46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Leozinho ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Guilherme ⚽, Wendell (A),
70', Giuliano ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
70', Serginho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
72', Jose Aldo 🟨,
73', Yann Rolim ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
73', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
74', Claudinho 🟨,
78', Hayner ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
85', Thonny Anderson ↓, Salatiel ↑,
90+2', Wendell ↓, Furch J. ↑,
90+2', Joao Schmidt ↓, Sandry ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Santos is a favorite.
There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz
(Injury)
Lipe
(Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Injury)
Ze Eduardo
(Injury)
There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Injury)
Kevyson
(Injury)
Miguelito
(Injury)
Renan
(Injury)
Rodrigo Falcao
(Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Ituano won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.6:0.4).
Brazil
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Jefferson Paulino (C) 
Escobar G. 
Laquintana I. 
Otero R. 
