Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 11

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)


	Red Bull Bragantino		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.52	4	6.25
	1.45	3.9	6.6
	1.49	4.09	7.17
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.47	4.1	6.6	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	3.94 ↑ (3.3)	6.45 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
62.3%

Draw
23.4%

Ituano
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27.2%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 1.

RB Bragantino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Bragantino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Guarani - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.23	Ituano - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ituano - Santo André	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Mirassol - Ituano	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Botafogo SP - Ituano	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	Ituano - Água Santa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.03.22	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0
28.02.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	2:1
15.03.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	0:3
04.02.15	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
16.02.14	Ituano - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0
27.03.13	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	1:0

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