Match Info

Date: 26 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ituano		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.27	2.85	3.15
	2.35	2.96	3.48
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.29	3.08	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.19)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	3.23 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
39.6%

Draw
31.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

21.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ituano - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ituano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Cruz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ituano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
21.12.20	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
14.12.20	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	São Bento - Ituano	0:3 ✺
28.11.20	Ituano - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Ituano - Boa Esporte	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Royal Pari	2:4 ✺
22.12.20	Bolívar - Santa Cruz Recife	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
16.12.20	Oriente Petrolero - Santa Cruz Recife	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Ituano - Santa Cruz Recife

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ituano - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Preview

Form

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