Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Vinto Atlético Palmaflor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.5
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.15	3.45	2.9
	2.23	3.7	3.07
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.12	3.65	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.98)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	2.88 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
42%

Draw
26%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

24.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

21.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinto Atlético Palmaflor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	10.4%	18.7%

Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Palmaflor will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 57.9% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana).

Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vinto Atlético Palmaflor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.12.20	Oriente Petrolero - Santa Cruz Recife	3:2 ✺
14.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Jorge Wilstermann	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
13.12.20	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Always Ready	0:3 ✺
09.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Real Potosí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW
- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.12.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
14.12.20	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Aurora	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Guabirá - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Nacional Potosí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
22.02.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
22.12.19	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0
19.12.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:1
01.12.19	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Santa Cruz Recife	3:4 penalties
17.11.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1

Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor