The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife 42%
Draw 26%
Vinto Atlético Palmaflor 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
24.9%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
21%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinto Atlético Palmaflor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+21%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.8%
10.4%
18.7%
Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Palmaflor will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 57.9% – 83.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana).
Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Vinto Atlético Palmaflor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.