Match Info

Date: 24 December 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Royal Pari

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.8	1.83
	3.4	3.5	1.87
	3.15	3.65	1.96
	3.38	3.87	2.03
	3.25	3.6	2
	3.68	3.72	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.98)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	1.93 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
27.4%

Draw
24.9%

Royal Pari
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

20.5%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royal Pari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.4%	11%	72.6%

Santa Cruz Recife - Royal Pari Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 12 - 16.4%). Royal Pari will win (votes: 53 - 72.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royal Pari: 62.4% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores (Qualification)).

Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Royal Pari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Royal Pari is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.12.20	Bolívar - Santa Cruz Recife	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
16.12.20	Oriente Petrolero - Santa Cruz Recife	3:2 ✺
14.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Jorge Wilstermann	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.12.20	Royal Pari - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Blooming - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
17.12.20	Royal Pari - Aurora	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Guabirá - Royal Pari	4:2 ✺
11.12.20	Royal Pari - Nacional Potosí	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
02.03.20	Royal Pari - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2

Santa Cruz Recife - Royal Pari