The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife 27.4%
Draw 24.9%
Royal Pari 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
25%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
20.5%
54.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royal Pari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.4%
11%
72.6%
Santa Cruz Recife - Royal Pari Predictions
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 12 - 16.4%). Royal Pari will win (votes: 53 - 72.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%). Confidence interval (95%) for Royal Pari: 62.4% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores (Qualification)).
Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Royal Pari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Royal Pari is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Watch
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