Match Info
Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 26 September 2025, Friday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Ituano U20 |
|
Ponte Preta U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.9 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.74 |
4.43 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.27 |
4.96 |
Watch |
 |
1.69 |
3.75 |
4.52 |
Watch |
 |
1.63 |
3.8 |
4.25 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.52) |
3.49 ↓ (4.05) |
4.5 ↓ (4.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ituano U20 52.8% | Draw 26.6% | Ponte Preta U20 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano U20's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Ituano U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 🟥,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.Ituano U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ponte Preta U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Ponte Preta U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Ituano U20 is considered a favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ituano U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;