Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Ponte Preta U20		Ituano U20

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.5	2.32
	2.54	3.41	2.38
	6.39	1.44	4.27	Watch
	2.73	3.44	2.26
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.01)	3.08 ↓ (3.63)	2.66 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
29.4%

Draw
32.7%

Ituano U20
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituano U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ponte Preta U20 - Ituano U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ponte Preta U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ituano U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponte Preta U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Ponte Preta U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.09.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Capivariano U20	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Capivariano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ponte Preta U20 - São José-SP U20	4:2 ✺
06.08.25	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Aguaí U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLW
- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.25	Ituano U20 - São Caetano U20	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	São Caetano U20 - Ituano U20	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Ituano U20 - Araçatuba FC U20	9:0 ✺
06.08.25	União Suzano U20 - Ituano U20	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ituano U20 - Rio Claro U20	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20 B
26.03.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Ituano U20	0:2

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