Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Capivariano U20		Ponte Preta U20

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.6	2
	2.52	3.4	2.32
	2.24	3.13	2.94
	2.69	2.43	3.29	Watch
	2.24	3.26	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capivariano U20
36.8%

Draw
29.2%

Ponte Preta U20
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capivariano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capivariano U20's performance.

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capivariano U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Capivariano U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Capivariano U20 (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Capivariano U20 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Capivariano U20 (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponte Preta U20 (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Recent form of Capivariano U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponte Preta U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ponte Preta U20 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.08.25	Capivariano U20 - Piracicaba U20	0:1 ✺
06.08.25	Guaratinguetá U20 - Capivariano U20	1:5 ✺
25.07.25	Capivariano U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Capivariano U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Guarani U20 - Capivariano U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLL
- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.08.25	Ponte Preta U20 - São José-SP U20	4:2 ✺
06.08.25	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Aguaí U20	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	Taubaté U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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