Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ponte Preta U20		São José-SP U20

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.5
	1.27	5.15	7.9
	1.28	5.05	6.93
	1.45	4.29	6.08	Watch
	1.26	4.75	10.7
	1.4	4.32	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.65 ↑ (4.34)	7.14 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
67.6%

Draw
19.6%

São José-SP U20
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.8%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

São José-SP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ponte Preta U20 - São José SP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Ponte Preta U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São José-SP U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ponte Preta U20 is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
06.08.25	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Aguaí U20	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	Taubaté U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Santos U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- São José-SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
06.08.25	São José-SP U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
25.07.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São José-SP U20	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	São José-SP U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Ferroviaria U20 - São José-SP U20	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Sfera U20 - São José-SP U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
09.01.20	São José-SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:2
11.01.19	São José-SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 penalties

Ponte Preta U20 - São José-SP U20