The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 59.2%
Draw 25.5%
Ituzaingó 15.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.7%
29.1%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.6%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UAI Urquiza's performance.
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituzaingó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UAI Urquiza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UAI Urquiza - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 3. Caceres A. 8. Ibanez E. (C) 9. Mesa F. 6. Monzon S. 11. Pesse V. 2. Rodriguez V. 7. Scacchi S.
1. Almiron A. (G) 3. Bermejo M. 5. Desposito P. (C) 7. Fanti J. 8. Fernandez J. 2. Martinez J. 10. Maza J. 9. Odunukwe J. 6. Politano R. 4. Regules I. 11. Sala H.
Substitutes
13. Ciancio V. 20. Diaz E. 19. Marin A. 14. Postel F. 15. Prado F. 16. Rios N. 17. Rocha T. 12. Rolon J. (G) 18. Scarcella R.
17. Barea T. 12. Barraza L. (G) 14. Garcia L. 19. Gras S. 13. Mantovani E. 20. Miranda A. 15. Salvadores J. 18. Santiago N. 16. Sotelo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Odunukwe J. ⚽,
56', Rodriguez V. ↓, Ciancio V. ↑,
57', Monzon S. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Maza J. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Mesa F. ⚽,
79', Postel F. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Diaz E. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Rios N. ⚽,
90+4', Rios N. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 21st in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: ) and 22nd in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: )).
UAI Urquiza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ituzaingó has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to UAI Urquiza for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UAI Urquiza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
21
UAI Urquiza
41
7
21
13
25:36
-11
42
22
Ituzaingo ✔
41
1
14
26
28:67
-39
17
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.