Match Info

Primera B - Round 37

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ituzaingó		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	3.60	2.95	1.98
	3.15	2.90	2.12	Watch
	3.99	2.95	2.05
	3.08	2.91	2.36	Watch
	3.95	2.90	1.98
	3.66	3.14	2.10
	3.60	2.95	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.95)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
25.5%

Draw
30.8%

Defensores Unidos
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ituzaingó - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almiron A. (G) 3. Bermejo M. 5. Desposito P. 7. Fanti J. 8. Fernandez J. 10. Gras S. 2. Martinez J. 11. Moreira 6. Politano R. 4. Regules I. 9. Sala H.	1. Henricot F. (G) 8. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Iribarne S. 4. Ortigoza M. 3. Rapetti M. 11. Redondo K. 9. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
Substitutes
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 16. Barea T. 15. Garcia L. 19. Luppino F. 13. Mantovani E. 20. Mariani B. 18. Odunukwe J. 14. Salvadores J. 17. Santiago N.	18. Carboni B. 20. D'Andrea F. 14. Ferreyra T. 19. Herrera S. 13. Lorenzo A. 15. Montani L. 16. Rojas E. 12. Salerno F. (G) 17. Tello J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ortigoza M. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
36', Tello J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Fernandez J. ↓, Odunukwe J. ↑,
68', Lopez M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
68', Sombra A. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
70', Regules I. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
70', Moreira ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Alarcon M. N. ⚽,
88', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
88', Redondo K. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
90+3', Iribarne S. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 22nd in the Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 19th).

Ituzaingó is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Defensores Unidos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ituzaingó against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 29.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Ituzaingó	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Ituzaingó - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
18.09.26	Comunicaciones - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Merlo - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Sportivo Italiano - Defensores Unidos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Defensores Unidos - Ituzaingó	2:1
10.07.22	Ituzaingó - Defensores Unidos	1:1
12.03.22	Defensores Unidos - Ituzaingó	1:1
Argentinian Primera C
27.02.18	Ituzaingó - Defensores Unidos	0:1
24.09.17	Defensores Unidos - Ituzaingó	1:0

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