The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ivinhema 22.1%
Draw 30.9%
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
32.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
34%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ivinhema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ivinhema's form might have worsened.
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivinhema than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivinhema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.33%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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