Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)


	Montedio Yamagata		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	2.9	3.4	2.31	Watch
	2.79	3.42	2.41	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.13	3.52	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (3)	3.33 ↑ (3)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
30.9%

Draw
27.9%

Kyoto Sanga
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kyoto Sanga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hasegawa K. (G) 6. Yamada T. 3. Kumamoto Y. 22. Shirowa H. 13. Nodake H. 17. Kato C. 20. Yoshio Kaina 9. Takahashi J. 42. Issaka Z. 11. Fujimoto Y. 14. Sakamoto K.	1. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 2. Fukuda S. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 15. Nagata K. 20. Kita K. 16. Takeda S. 18. Matsuda T. 6. Joao Pedro 48. Nakano R. 77. Murilo de Souza 31. Hiraga S.
Substitutes
5. Abe T. 33. Chiba T. 55. Horikane S. 32. Kambayashi T. (G) 15. Kawai A. 10. Kida R. 99. Mikeltadze B. 23. Omori S. 21. Tanaka W.	17. Anzai Y. 30. Iida R. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 11. Marco Tulio 24. Miyamoto Y. 29. Okugawa M. 4. Patrick William 8. Yonemoto T. 51. Yoon S.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Nagata K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nodake H. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
60', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Tanaka W. ↑,
61', Nagata K. 🟨,
70', Takahashi J. ↓, Mikeltadze B. ↑,
70', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
73', Matsuda T. 🟨,
75', Mikeltadze B. 🟨,
79', Nakano R. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
79', Takeda S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
79', Hiraga S. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
80', Mikeltadze B. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
84', Matsuda T. ↓, Yoon S. ↑,
90+5', Murilo de Souza ↓, Anzai Y. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 0.

Montedio Yamagata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Montedio Yamagata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kyoto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kagoshima United - Montedio Yamagata	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWTW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	3:4 ✺
02.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Gainare Tottori - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.09.21	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:2
09.05.21	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	1:0
01.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	3:0
08.08.20	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	3:4
13.07.19	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
03.04.19	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
04.08.18	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	1:0

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