Match Info

J2 League - Round 18

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.82	3.24	2.67
	2.7	3.22	2.6	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.67	3.14	2.52	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.37)	2.56 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
34.5%

Draw
29.3%

Roasso Kumamoto
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.6%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kumamoto (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumamoto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Joo H. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 3. Endo R. 4. Dohana K. 32. Igarashi S. 8. Shibata S. 24. Yamashita Y. 7. Ishiwatari N. 19. Onishi Y. 38. Kumata N. 10. Tanimura K.	23. Sato Y. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 3. Onishi R. 4. Hakamata Y. 15. Mishima S. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 18. Handai M. 16. Matsuoka R.
Substitutes
1. Hayasaka Y. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 30. Kohui S. 13. Murakami H. 6. Sakagishi K. 26. Sakamoto I. 5. Shirai H. 17. Yamada Y.	5. Abe K. 10. Konagaya C. 28. Kumashiro K. 27. Negishi K. 24. Ri T. 1. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kumata N. ⚽, Tanimura K. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Handai M. ↓, Kumashiro K. ↑,
63', Dohana K. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,
63', Onishi Y. ↓, Kohui S. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
69', Mishima S. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
69', Matsuoka R. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Kumata N. ⚽,
76', Yamashita Y. ↓, Sakagishi K. ↑,
77', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
81', Joo H. 🟨,
81', Konagaya C. (Pen),
86', 4 - 0, Ishiwatari N. ⚽, Kumata N. (A),
90+1', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
90+1', Shibata S. ↓, Murakami H. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Kumashiro K. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 1, Kumata N. ⚽, Murakami H. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 15).

Iwaki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kumamoto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Ehime - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTT
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	2:2 ✺
06.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.08.24	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4
17.03.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	0:6
27.08.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	2:4
03.06.23	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	0:4

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