Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.29	3.15	3.3
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.21	2.96	3.23	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
41.3%

Draw
29.7%

Roasso Kumamoto
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Roasso Kumamoto aligns with the current prediction.

Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 2. Okamoto T. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 16. Shige T. 18. Nodake J. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 20. Kimoto T. 37. Kimoto M. 9. Arima K.	1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 6. Iwashita W. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 27. Negishi K. 39. Aoki S. 7. Fujii K. 10. Katori Y. 11. Bae Jeong-Min
Substitutes
13. Isa K. 17. Kim Hyun-woo 36. Matsuoka H. 5. Nakagawa H. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 30. Tone I. 72. Yamaguchi T. 15. Yashiki Y. 7. Yoshida M.	18. Handai M. 13. Iihoshi A. 14. Ishihara O. 5. Kobayashi K. 22. Matsuda E. 15. Mishima S. 17. Nagai S. 25. Nasu K. 23. Sato Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Kamimura S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shige T. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
46', Kimoto T. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
46', Kimoto M. ↓, Kim Hyun-woo ↑,
68', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
68', Fujii K. ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
68', Negishi K. ↓, Nasu K. ↑,
76', Omoto Y. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
79', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
80', Nakagawa H. 🟨,
82', Nodake J. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
84', Katori Y. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Oita Trinita has had a series of away games.

Oita Trinita could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Oita Trinita - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita	1:0 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWL
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Gainare Tottori - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:5 ✺
04.04.26	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
28.02.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	3:1
Japan J2 League
26.10.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	0:1
03.05.25	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
11.08.24	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
28.04.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	1:2
16.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	1:3
13.05.23	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1

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