Match Info

J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Imabari

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.27	2.54
	3.03	3.17	2.35
	2.9	3	2.38
	2.86	3.13	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)	2.41 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
32%

Draw
29.6%

Imabari
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Kumamoto (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumamoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sato Y. (G) 3. Onishi R. 24. Ri T. 4. Hakamata Y. 15. Mishima S. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 18. Handai M. 16. Matsuoka R.	1. Tachikawa K. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 14. Yuba K. 18. Arai H. 20. Vinicius Diniz 9. Kondo T. 7. Yamada T. 36. Yokoyama Y. 10. Marcus Vinicius
Substitutes
11. Bae Jeong-Min 25. Kobayashi K. 10. Konagaya C. 2. Kuroki K. 1. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.	13. Fujioka K. 21. Hino T. 4. Ichihara R. 44. Ito G. (G) 17. Mochii K. 16. Omori R. 33. Sasa S. 25. Sato R. 37. Umeki R.
Coaches
Oki T.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Handai M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Kondo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
59', Yamada T. ↓, Mochii K. ↑,
62', Hakamata Y. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
62', Matsuoka R. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
70', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
70', Arai H. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
86', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Sato R. ↑,
86', Yuba K. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
90+4', Sasa S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
29.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLT
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Imabari - Júbilo Iwata	3:3 ✺
29.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Imabari	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Imabari - Cerezo Osaka	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.09.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari	1:0
13.03.21	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1
18.11.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari	1:2
04.07.20	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1

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