The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 32.4%
Draw 29.2%
Iwaki 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.4%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.5%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 20. Kato D. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 2. Kawasaki I. 50. Uemura H. 7. Uehara R. 4. Matsubara K. 16. Gustavo Silva 9. Watanabe R. 11. Matheus Peixoto
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 3. Endo R. 35. Fukaminato S. 22. Takahashi Y. 30. Shota K. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A. 32. Owie W. 11. Kato T.
Substitutes
77. Fujiwara K. 18. Inoue S. 6. Kaneko D. 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 27. Sato R. 39. Sumi K. 8. Tameda H. 36. Yoshimura R.
28. Hisanaga R. 39. Joo H. (G) 2. Konno I. 5. Kuwata T. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 20. Ouji R. 29. Tanaka K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kawasaki I. ⚽, Gustavo Silva (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Nishitani R. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
66', Matsubara K. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
66', Gustavo Silva ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
71', Fukaminato S. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
71', Owie W. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Shota K. ⚽,
74', Shota K. 🟨,
75', Uehara R. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
82', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
83', Endo R. ↓, Kuwata T. ↑,
83', Watanabe R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
83', Kawasaki I. ↓, Yoshimura R. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Matheus Peixoto (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kuwata T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kaneko D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Konno I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sumi K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hisanaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tameda H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Iwata has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Iwaki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.