Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JäPS		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.80	1.55
	5.1	3.85	1.55
	6.02	4.31	1.55
	4.82	4.01	1.65	Watch
	5.95	4.25	1.5
	5.25	4.09	1.58	Watch
	4.9	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.11)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
17.6%

Draw
23.1%

Haka
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

24.1%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

JäPS - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 19. Kuosa H. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R.	12. Lepola A. (C) 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 16. Laaksonen O. 7. Lahdensuo T. 10. Maenpaa A. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
10. Ahola V. 23. Hahl H. 8. Heidari R. 17. Ketonen V. 2. Manner N. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 18. Virtanen J.	9. Ali Abubakar T. 8. Karlsson J. 23. Lehtinen T. 26. Paavola O. 17. Pietsalo R. 5. Sovelius T. 15. Syrjalainen M. 2. Tiihonen A. 1. Ziprus J. (G)
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Haikonen P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Maenpaa A. ↓, Tiihonen A. ↑,
61', Nurmi K. ↓, Ali Abubakar T. ↑,
74', Selander R. ↓, Ketonen V. ↑,
74', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
76', Silas C. 🟨,
78', Kuosa H. ↓, Ristola A. ↑,
81', Salo J. ↓, Manner N. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Karlsson J. ⚽,
88', Mahlamaki M. ↓, Pietsalo R. ↑,
88', Whyte O. ↓, Paavola O. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Ristola A. ⚽,
90+5', Haikonen P. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, JäPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Haka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

JäPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Haka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, JäPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.08.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	JIPPO - JäPS	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.08.26	Haka - JIPPO	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Haka	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Klubi 04 - Haka	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2
21.04.26	Haka - JäPS	5:0
Club Friendly
13.01.23	JäPS - Haka	3:3

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