Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JäPS		Klubi 04

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.80
	1.98	3.45	3.05
	2.29	3.70	2.95
	2.21	3.59	3	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.90
	2.18	3.48	3.09	Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	2.95 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
42.4%

Draw
26.3%

Klubi 04
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Klubi 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JäPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

JäPS - Klubi 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. JäPS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Klubi 04 will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JäPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 15. Dahlfors O. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J.	89. Haapanen M. (G) 57. Barrett R. 59. Gronlund E. 48. Haikala A. 91. Hudd R. 53. Kari J. (C) 87. Kroupkin N. 63. Le Goff-Conan A. 47. Levealahti E. 58. Nyback I. 95. Olorunfem D.
Substitutes
10. Ahola V. 23. Hahl H. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 7. Maliki S. 2. Manner N. 11. Pallas E. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 18. Virtanen J.	52. Adetola Q. 72. Berisha A. 51. De Nascimento J. 73. Kesonen D. 61. Konttas V. 74. Mihhalevski R. 49. Siren N. 79. Tanska J. (G) 54. Zaitra A.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Hetemaj P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kuosa H. ⚽, Dahlfors O. (A),
43', Ketonen V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Levealahti E. 🟨,
58', Barrett R. ↓, Berisha A. ↑,
60', Kuosa H. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
68', Le Goff-Conan A. ↓, Adetola Q. ↑,
68', Haikala A. ↓, Konttas V. ↑,
76', Hudd R. ↓, Siren N. ↑,
76', Nyback I. ↓, Zaitra A. ↑,
76', Ristola A. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
82', Dahlfors O. ↓, Ahola V. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Katashira C. ⚽,
90', Adetola Q. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Ykkosliiga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Klubi 04 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

JäPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 2.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
9	Klubi 04	25	5	8	12	30:37	-7	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	4:1 ✺
03.07.26	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
21.07.26	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Klubi 04 - Haka	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Klubi 04 - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Klubi 04 - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
10.04.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	1:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
28.02.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	4:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.10.25	Klubi 04 - JäPS	2:1
13.06.25	JäPS - Klubi 04	2:0
23.04.25	Klubi 04 - JäPS	4:6
Finnish Ykkoscup
09.02.25	Klubi 04 - JäPS	3:2
Club Friendly
24.03.21	Klubi 04 - JäPS	0:1

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