Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)


	JäPS		PEPO Lappeenranta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.3
	1.82	3.75	3.65
	1.88	3.85	3.35
	1.91	4.29	3.61
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.81	4	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
49.7%

Draw
23.9%

PEPO Lappeenranta
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

JäPS - PEPO Lappeenranta Predictions

Users Predictions: JäPS will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches JäPS won 2.

JäPS is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PEPO is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PEPO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

JäPS will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches JäPS won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams JäPS won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkonen
06.08.22	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	3:4 ✺
30.07.22	JäPS - PIF Pargas	4:1 ✺
22.07.22	KTP Kotka - JäPS	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:3 ✺
11.07.22	JäPS - Gnistan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLWW
- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Ykkonen
04.08.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
30.07.22	KPV Kokkola - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - TPS	1:1 ✺
15.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
10.06.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - JäPS	2:4
Finnish Ykkoscup
09.02.22	JäPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.08.21	PEPO Lappeenranta - JäPS	2:1
06.08.21	JäPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:0
Finnish Kakkosen Cup
12.02.21	JäPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:1 ET
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
10.07.20	JäPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.20	PEPO Lappeenranta - JäPS	2:2

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