Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)


	PEPO Lappeenranta		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.25	2.5
	2.65	3.75	2.25
	2.5	3.3	2.55
	2.61	3.59	2.69
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.53	3.44	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.78)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.5 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
36.1%

Draw
27.2%

Gnistan
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	41.4%	41.4%

PEPO Lappeenranta - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. PEPO will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Gnistan will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gnistan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches PEPO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams PEPO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Ykkonen
30.07.22	KPV Kokkola - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - TPS	1:1 ✺
15.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - PK-35 Vantaa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLT
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
31.07.22	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	0:0 ✺
23.07.22	PIF Pargas - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	Gnistan - KTP Kotka	2:1 ✺
11.07.22	JäPS - Gnistan	2:1 ✺
06.07.22	Ekenäs - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
05.06.22	Gnistan - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:0
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.08.18	Gnistan - PEPO Lappeenranta	3:1
31.05.18	PEPO Lappeenranta - Gnistan	3:0
Finnish Cup
10.02.18	Gnistan - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:0
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.08.16	PEPO Lappeenranta - Gnistan	2:3

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