Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.90	1.55
	5.7	4.45	1.45
	5.45	4.3	1.54
	5.03	4.35	1.56	Watch
	5.35	4.1	1.51
	4.94	4.16	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (3.9)	4.21 ↑ (3.68)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
17.8%

Draw
22%

Karlstad
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

24.1%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Järfälla's form might have worsened.

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Järfälla - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 29. Hamidi A. 17. Khalil A. 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 24. Nisic K. 11. Ogestad O. 21. Rajamohan A. 9. Wurtz A. (C)	1. Karlsson M. (G) 10. Alvers O. 8. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 9. Carstrom J. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 12. Miguel W. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
25. Bark L. 19. Dahir K. 26. Dibaga D. 31. Leijonqvist E. (G) 12. Markovski D. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P.	11. Bengtsson J. 28. Djerlek A. 17. Jatta N. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 27. Kocys T. (G) 24. Nfansu D. 18. Tagoe B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Bark A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 2, Miguel W. ⚽,
39', Gustafsson K. 🟨,
45+1', Hamidi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gustafsson K. ↓, Tagoe B. ↑,
58', Mazanti Nyberg F. ↓, Dibaga D. ↑,
58', Ogestad O. ↓, Bark L. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Beko S. ⚽,
62', Miguel W. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
64', Rajamohan A. ↓, Sabery A. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Bark A. ⚽,
78', Wurtz A. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
78', Bellman H. ↓, Djerlek A. ↑,
79', Nilsson King E. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
80', Zurmati S. ↓, Nfansu D. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Bark L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: )).

Järfälla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlstad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Karlstad is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Järfälla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Last Results with these Odds

Karlstad - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.08.26	Järfälla - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
28.06.26	Umeå - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
23.06.26	Järfälla - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Hammarby TFF - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Järfälla - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
02.08.26	Karlstad - Enköping	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Arlanda - Karlstad	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Karlstad - Gefle	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.06.26	Eker Örebro - Karlstad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.04.26	Karlstad - Järfälla	2:1

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