Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 31

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.65
	2.87	2.82	2.62	Watch
	2.99	2.91	2.83
	2.96	2.83	2.78	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.5
	2.9	2.9	2.77	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.82)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	2.69 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
32.3%

Draw
32.8%

Avispa Fukuoka
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

31.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 32. Hilo H. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 16. Leo Gomes 25. Nakamura S. 18. Takahata K. 11. Germain R. 55. Watanabe R.	1. Nagaishi T. (G) 33. Grolli D. 37. Tashiro M. 5. Miya D. 19. Kamekawa M. 30. Shigemi M. 6. Mae H. 29. Maejima Y. 8. Konno K. 18. Iwasaki Y. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
23. Croux J. 13. Fujikawa K. 99. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 15. Suzuki K. 10. Yamada H.	4. Inoue S. 7. Kanamori T. 25. Kitajima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 31. Murakami M. (G) 16. Oda I. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Tashiro M. 🟨,
60', Leo Gomes 🟨,
67', Kamekawa M. ↓, Oda I. ↑,
74', Grolli D. 🟨,
77', Wellington 🟨,
79', Watanabe R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
79', Matsumoto M. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
79', Grolli D. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
84', Hilo H. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
90+4', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 1.

Recent matches Iwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avispa Fukuoka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	4:0 ✺
11.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
07.08.24	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLLWT
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Consadole Sapporo - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.04.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
06.07.22	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
Japan J League Cup
13.04.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
26.03.22	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
Japan J1 League
19.02.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
Japan J2 League
01.11.20	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1
15.07.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	1:0

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