Match Info

J1 League - Round 21

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Avispa Fukuoka		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3	3.6
				Watch
	2.57	3.11	3.2
				Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.22	3.17	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.39)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
40.9%

Draw
31.2%

Albirex Niigata
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Albirex Niigata (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Albirex Niigata (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Albirex Niigata (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Albirex Niigata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Albirex Niigata (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Obata Y. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 37. Tashiro M. 20. Ando T. 22. Fujimoto K. 88. Matsuoka D. 15. Akino H. 47. Hashimoto Y. 8. Konno K. 25. Kitajima Y. 27. Usui S.	21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 3. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 11. Danilo Gomes 8. Miyamoto E. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 7. Taniguchi K. 41. Hasegawa M.
Substitutes
18. Iwasaki Y. 7. Kanamori T. 29. Maejima Y. 31. Murakami M. (G) 14. Nago S. 3. Nara T. 77. Shichi T. 6. Shigemi M. 17. Wellington	6. Akiyama H. 22. Arai T. 1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Geria J. 15. Hayakawa F. 46. Kasai K. 28. Ota S. 33. Takagi Y. 9. Yamura K.
Coaches
Kim Myong-hwi	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Konno K. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
19', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Danilo Gomes (A),
45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kamijima T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
63', Konno K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
63', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
75', Okumura J. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
75', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
81', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
90', Nago S. 🟨,
90+2', Hoshi Y. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.

Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.

Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
15.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.06.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWT
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
15.06.25	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Albirex Niigata - Fukuyama City	1:0 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
17.08.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1
25.05.24	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
18.08.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1
Japan J League Cup
24.05.23	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
Japan J1 League
15.04.23	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2
Japan J League Cup
08.03.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	1:0

Upcoming Matches