Match Info

J2 League - Round 29

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Imabari

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.3	2.62
	2.42	3.54	2.97
	2.55	3.41	2.60	Watch
	2.51	3.42	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	2.69 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
38%

Draw
27.6%

Imabari
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Júbilo Iwata - Imabari Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Imabari will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Iwata (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Miura R. (G) 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 8. Tameda H. 5. Ezaki T. 16. Gustavo Silva 52. Van den Bergh J. 18. Inoue S. 71. Masui K. 39. Sumi K. 9. Watanabe R.	1. Tachikawa K. (G) 4. Ichihara R. 2. Kato T. 20. Vinicius Diniz 7. Yamada T. 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 41. Yasui T. 10. Marcus Vinicius 14. Yuba K. 36. Yokoyama Y.
Substitutes
79. Browne N. 6. Kaneko D. 38. Kawaguchi N. 33. Kawai T. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 11. Matheus Peixoto 3. Morioka R. 25. Nakamura S. 22. Ueebisu K.	18. Arai H. 13. Fujioka K. 9. Kondo T. 50. Mikado Y. 33. Sasa S. 24. Takeuchi Y. 11. Tanque W. 47. Ueda S. (G) 37. Umeki R.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ichihara R. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Watanabe R. ⚽,
63', Sumi K. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
63', Inoue S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
68', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Tanque W. ↑,
68', Yasui T. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
69', Ezaki T. 🟨,
73', Miura R. 🟨,
76', Van den Bergh J. ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
77', Tameda H. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,
82', Omori R. 🟨,
83', Gustavo Silva ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
87', Omori R. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
87', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Kondo T. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 8)

Recent performances by Iwata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Imabari is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iwata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
31.08.25	Oita Trinita - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.25	Júbilo Iwata - Veertien Mie	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Mito HollyHock - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWL
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
30.08.25	Imabari - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Blaublitz Akita - Imabari	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Oita Trinita - Imabari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Imabari - Júbilo Iwata	3:3

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