Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	2.11	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.07	3.34	3.48	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.92)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
44.4%

Draw
28%

Roasso Kumamoto
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Júbilo Iwata will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Abe K. (G) 50. Uemura H. 5. Ezaki T. 22. Ueebisu K. 4. Matsubara K. 25. Nakamura S. 6. Kaneko D. 39. Sumi K. 23. Croux J. 11. Matheus Peixoto 71. Masui K.	23. Sato Y. (G) 3. Onishi R. 24. Ri T. 4. Hakamata Y. 15. Mishima S. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 19. Watanabe R. 18. Handai M. 14. Shiohama R.
Substitutes
77. Fujiwara K. 38. Kawaguchi N. 2. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 16. Leo Gomes 26. Nishikubo S. 36. Ricardo Graca 20. Sato R. 8. Tameda H.	25. Kobayashi K. 28. Kumashiro K. 2. Kuroki K. 16. Matsuoka R. 9. Omoto Y. 20. Osaki S. 1. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Shiohama R. ⚽, Handai M. (A),
12', Ri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Hakamata Y. 🟨,
62', Watanabe R. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
63', Ueebisu K. ↓, Ricardo Graca ↑,
63', Masui K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
63', Uemura H. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Kaneko D. ⚽, Kawasaki I. (A),
74', Sumi K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
75', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
75', Shiohama R. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
85', Kaneko D. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
86', Handai M. ↓, Kumashiro K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2.

Iwata in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kumamoto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Iwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Iwata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.06.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
16.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
25.10.15	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
04.07.15	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
19.10.14	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
16.03.14	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	3:1

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