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Current Win Probability
Renofa Yamaguchi 40.5%
Draw 30%
Roasso Kumamoto 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
28.7%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.1%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 49. Mineda Y. 38. Tadokoro R. 3. Oiwa K. 20. Suenaga T. 6. Wakasa Y. 7. Misawa N. 17. Tanabe K. 4. Nakashima K. 28. Kobayashi S. 19. Yamamoto S.
23. Sato Y. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 26. Toda S. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 25. Nasu K. 39. Aoki S. 13. Iihoshi A. 7. Fujii K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min
Substitutes
99. Endo M. (G) 81. Kimura Y. 27. Mizuguchi H. 40. Naruoka H. 8. Noyori K. 22. Okuyama Y. 2. Ozawa R. 77. Yamamoto R.
18. Handai M. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 5. Kobayashi K. 22. Matsuda E. 15. Mishima S. 17. Nagai S. 1. Sato S. (G) 19. Watanabe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Oiwa K. ⚽, Misawa N. (A),
40', Wakasa Y. 🟨,
44', Bae Jeong-Min 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Omoto Y. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
46', Tadokoro R. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
46', Suenaga T. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
65', Kobayashi S. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
68', Nasu K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
68', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
68', Iihoshi A. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
75', Oiwa K. 🟨,
78', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
79', Aoki S. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
89', Yamamoto S. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Katori Y. ⚽, Ri T. (A),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Nakashima K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wakasa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matsuda E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tanabe K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Katori Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Naruoka H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Noyori K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ri T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Renofa Yamaguchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 
Mineda Y. 
Ri T. 
