Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Jabaquara		Araçatuba

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.49	2.92	2.77
	2.39	3.07	2.91	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.08
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.93 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jabaquara
38.4%

Draw
30.5%

Araçatuba
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Araçatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jabaquara - Araçatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Luan Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Jabaquara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Araçatuba is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jabaquara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jabaquara will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
27.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Jabaquara	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Jabaquara - Penapolense	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Joseense - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Nacional SP - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Jabaquara - Paulista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLL
- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	São Caetano - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Araçatuba - Barretos	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Nacional SP - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Araçatuba - Matonense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLW

Jabaquara - Araçatuba

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Jabaquara - Araçatuba Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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