Match Info

BRAZIL: BAIANO - ROUND 6

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday


	Jacobina		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	7.25	4	1.38
	8	4.2	1.4
	6.8	3.85	1.36
	7.6	3.99	1.43
	8	4	1.33
	7.75	4.1	1.38
	7.6	4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.57 ↑ (6.23)	4.02 ↓ (4.33)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacobina
11.9%

Draw
22.5%

Vitória Salvador
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

22.2%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacobina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Jacobina - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nilton (G) 8. Anderson Bandeira 9. Bruno Nunes 5. Bruno Sabino 11. Gabriel Nereia 2. Isaque 4. Joao Paulo 10. Luan Rodrigues 7. Luis Ricardo 6. Patrick 3. Sales R.	1. Muriel (G) 9. Alerrandro 13. Camutanga 7. Iury Castilho 6. Lucas Esteves 10. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 21. Rodrigues E. 4. Wagner Leonardo 5. Willian Oliveira 2. Zeca
Substitutes
21. Castro J. 23. Fabiano Alves 19. Geraldo 17. Kassio 14. Lucas Pezao 12. Matheus Cabral (G) 18. Myckael 15. Pedro Dias 13. Puka 20. Rodolfo 16. Thiago 22. Vinicius Alemao	14. Caceres R. 19. Caio Dantas 8. Caio Vinicius 20. Everaldo 15. Fabio Soares 3. Joao Victor 16. Mateus Goncalves 12. Maycon (G) 17. Ze Hugo

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jacobina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitória is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jacobina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Jacobina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacobina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.02.24	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacobina	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Jacobina - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Bahia - Jacobina	5:0 ✺
18.01.24	Jacobina - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Bahia de Feira - Jacobina	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Altos - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
31.01.24	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	3:0 ✺
24.01.24	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.01.20	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	1:0
27.01.19	Jacobina - Vitória Salvador	1:2
04.03.18	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	2:1
26.03.17	Jacobina - Vitória Salvador	1:4
21.02.16	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	3:1

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