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Current Win Probability
Jagiellonia Białystok 35.5%
Draw 27%
Legia Warsaw 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
28.4%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
28.5%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
75%
12.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 23. Montoia G. 85. Kozlowski E. 19. Klynge A. 27. Conceicao R. 11. Imaz J. (C) 7. Szmyt K. 99. Prelec N.
89. Hindrich O. (G) 24. Arsenic Z. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Deziel R. 23. Sevcik M. 53. Urbanski W. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 19. Vinagre R. 22. Wszolek P. 17. Szczepaniak M. 7. Kuchta J.
Substitutes
10. Agbonifo J. 32. Cirkovic A. 8. Drachal D. 14. Finndell H. 72. Jozwiak K. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 3. Stojinovic D. 17. Sylla Y. 20. Wdowik B.
9. Adamski R. 6. Arreiol H. 1. Brkic I. (G) 11. Chodyna K. 91. Piatkowski K. 13. Reca A. 4. Szymanski D. 27. Viunnyk B. 20. Zewlakow J. 79. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.
Papszun M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Augustyniak R. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 0 - 2, Prelec N. (Own goal),
35', 1 - 2, Imaz J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vinagre R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
57', Kuchta J. ↓, Zjawinski L. ↑,
57', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
57', Sevcik M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
65', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
65', Klynge A. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Wszolek P. ⚽, Augustyniak R. (A),
84', Szmyt K. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
84', Prelec N. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
86', Adamski R. 🟨,
87', Wszolek P. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
90+1', Kozlowski E. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Legia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Jagiellonia has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Jagiellonia: Kobayashi Y.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Legia: Bichakhchyan V.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Jagiellonia: Sow O.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:33 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jagiellonia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
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Abramowicz S. (G) 
Vital B. 
Konstantopoulos A. 
Klynge A. 
Imaz J. (C) 
Prelec N. 
Hindrich O. (G) 
Arsenic Z. 
Deziel R. 
Sevcik M. 
Agbonifo J. 
Cirkovic A. 
Sylla Y. 
Viunnyk B. 
