What is the expert prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Olimpija Ljubljana. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Jagiellonia Białystok vs Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 19, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 7
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.9
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	2.11	3.35	3.75
	2.04	3.33	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.14	3.31	3.75
	2.1	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
45.3%

Draw
28.8%

Olimpija Ljubljana
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	24%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 3. Stojinovic D. 5. Polak C. 11. Imaz J. (C) 14. Kubicki J. 8. Nene 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 10. Pululu A. 99. Hansen K.	69. Vidovsek M. (G) 21. Pedreno M. 14. Ratnik M. (C) 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 2. Silva J. 34. Doffo A. 23. Pinto D. 3. Sualehe D. 11. Blanco A. 10. Florucz R. 18. Brest M.
Substitutes
21. Churlinov D. 82. Costa Silva T. 22. Kovacik P. 29. Listkowski M. 39. Nguiamba A. 80. Pietuszewski O. 51. Rybak A. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 71. Stypulkowski S. 20. Villar Miki	45. Acimovic M. 6. Agba P. 24. Boultam R. 19. Durdov I. 36. Fink G. (G) 33. Govea J. 9. Kojic D. 8. Lasickas J. 99. Marin A. 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Brest M. 🟨,
28', Blanco A. 🟨,
32', Sacek M. 🟨,
38', Pululu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
72', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
72', Nene ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
77', Pinto D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
77', Florucz R. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
82', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
85', Silva J. 🟨,
85', Brest M. ↓, Boultam R. ↑,
88', Silva J. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
89', Boultam R. 🟨,
90+1', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpija is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimpija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jagiellonia have a series of guest games.

Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Red Card) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Olimpija: Schwaizer P. L. (Knee Injury) Thalisson (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.12.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTT
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Cercle Brugge	1:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.12.24	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Larne	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
24.11.24	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWWW

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