Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Chile	12:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5, New World TV
Georgia	20:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	18:45	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	16:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
Israel	19:45	Sport 1
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	10:45	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
North Central America	—	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sport 1
South Korea	01:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	23:45	beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:45	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+
International	16:45	Disney+, VIX App


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Betis

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.73
	4.1	3.8	1.68
	4.3	4.15	1.75	Watch
	4.43	4.16	1.75
	4.42	4.16	1.71	Watch
	4.58	4.05	1.75
	4.3	4.15	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.86)	4.08 ↓ (4.19)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
21.9%

Draw
23.3%

Betis
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.6%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.6%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Betis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	16.2%	78.4%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Betis (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Betis (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Betis will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Betis will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Betis (votes: 16 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Ebosse E. 44. Moutinho J. 14. Kubicki J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 11. Imaz J. 99. Hansen K. 10. Pululu A. 21. Churlinov D.	25. Vieites F. (G) 23. Sabaly Y. 5. Bartra M. (C) 6. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 16. Altimira S. 20. Lo Celso G. 18. Fornals P. 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 36. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 20. Villar Miki	13. Adrian (G) 2. Bellerin H. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 46. Flores M. 30. Garcia G. (G) 52. Garcia P. 22. Isco 4. Johnny Cardoso 32. Mendy N. 15. Perraud R. 24. Ruibal A.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Rodriguez R. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
39', Antony 🟨,
44', Imaz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Sabaly Y. 🟨,
71', Fornals P. ↓, Johnny Cardoso ↑,
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ruibal A. ↑,
71', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Bakambu C. ⚽, Ruibal A. (A),
79', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
79', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Churlinov D. ⚽,
81', Lo Celso G. ↓, Isco ↑,
81', Antony ↓, Ezzalzouli A. ↑,
82', Churlinov D. 🟨,
89', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
90+3', Costa Silva T. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Betis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Betis is a favorite.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Avila C. (Thigh Injury) Carvalho W. (Inactive) Cucho Hernandez (Inactive) Llorente D. (Muscle Injury) Roca M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.04.25	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.04.25	Betis - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
Polish Super Cup
02.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.03.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWL
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
13.04.25	Betis - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.04.25	Betis - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.25	Barcelona - Betis	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Betis - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés - Betis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.04.25	Betis - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0

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