Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna (Tuxtla Gutiérrez)


	Jaguares de Chiapas		Celaya

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.55	2.51	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.46	Watch
	2.44	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.07)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.5 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Chiapas
37.5%

Draw
26.1%

Celaya
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Chiapas's form might have worsened.

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Chiapas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jaguares de Chiapas - Celaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Chiapas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chiapas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chiapas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas	3:2 penalties ✺
08.11.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Racing de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Neza - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Dragones Toluca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTW
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Celaya - Montañeses	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Celaya	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Celaya - Héroes de Zaci	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Celaya - Racing de Veracruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTL

Jaguares de Chiapas - Celaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide