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Current Win Probability
Jaguares de Córdoba 44.6%
Draw 29.4%
Real Cartagena 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
25.8%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
24.3%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Córdoba's form might have worsened.
Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa J. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 6. Escobar A. 7. Herrera J. 5. Lovera J. 15. Maza J. 4. Mosquera Y. 14. Pino D. (C) 11. Renteria A. 25. Roa J. 17. Viveros J.
33. Armesto K. (G) 8. Acosta F. 7. De La Rosa W. 24. Duque J. 17. Marrugo C. 14. Martinez E. 97. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. 19. Moralez A. 88. Ramirez C. 21. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
20. Andrade J. 31. Barrios J. 3. Bueno D. 24. Ceter D. 33. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 13. Gutierrez A. 28. Mejia J. 26. Padilla D. 19. Palacios B. D.
18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 9. Gomez S. 6. Leudo J. 1. Montes A. (G) 27. Mosquera D. 20. Nieva J. 2. Pedrosa G. 31. Tamayo F. 25. Vergara M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Viveros J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
39', Renteria A. 🟨,
39', Marrugo C. 🟨,
45', Moralez A. 🟨,
45+1', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Montero F. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
56', Martinez E. 🟨,
58', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Renteria A. ⚽,
64', Lovera J. 🟨,
65', Escobar A. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Leudo J. ↑,
65', De La Rosa W. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
71', Roa J. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
72', Viveros J. ↓, Padilla D. ↑,
76', Leudo J. 🟨,
76', Marrugo C. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
76', Acosta F. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
79', Ramirez C. 🟨,
83', Pino D. ↓, Palacios B. D. ↑,
83', Herrera J. ↓, Ceter D. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Renteria A. (Pen),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Jaguares de Córdoba has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Real Cartagena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Jaguares de Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Jaguares de Córdoba could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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Figueroa J. (G) 
Gomez S. 
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