The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patriotas 48.1%
Draw 29.8%
Real Cartagena 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
27.8%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
28%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.
Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Patriotas - Real Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 17. Angulo H. 7. Campana J. 30. Gomez M. 4. Hurtado J. 14. Montes J. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. 6. Torres F.
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 7. Barrera J. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 14. Pino D. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 18. Angulo J. 23. Barahona J. 37. Bedoya M. 8. Copete C. 19. Figueroa F. 27. Mora A. 33. Ochoa A. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S.
15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 19. Moreno J. 20. Nieva J. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 29. Tamayo F. 11. Yanes L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Escobar A. 🟨,
45', Porras A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Guevara L. 🟨,
60', Barrera J. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
60', Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
62', Campana J. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
62', Gomez M. ↓, Barahona J. ↑,
62', Montes J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽,
78', Palomeque D. 🟨,
78', Escobar A. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
78', Guevara L. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
86', Copete C. 🟨,
88', Torres F. 🟨,
90+1', Torres F. ↓, Figueroa F. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez K. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
90+1', Aleman J. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Real Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.
Recent performances by Patriotas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Cartagena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Espitia J. (G) 
Figueroa F. 
Ochoa A. 
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