Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Jahn Regensburg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.39
	2.01	3.7	3.75
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.62	3.63
	1.95	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)	3.59 ↑ (3.59)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
47.6%

Draw
25.9%

Arminia Bielefeld
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	13.6%	4.5%

Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: Jahn Regensburg will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Weidinger A. (G) 11. Faber K. 4. Ballas F. 16. Breunig L. 6. Saller B. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 7. Schonfelder O. 10. Viet C. 27. Kother D. 20. Ganaus N.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 38. Worl M. 10. Boujellab N. 16. Corboz M. 17. Biankadi M. 9. Klos F. (C) 14. Momuluh T.
Substitutes
18. Anspach N. 25. Bauer J. 12. Cuk L. M. (G) 21. Eisenhuth T. 3. Hein B. 29. Huth E. 30. Mustafa V. 33. Tallig E. 14. Ziegele R.	20. Geerkens T. 27. Gohlke G. 25. Mizuta K. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 34. Putaro L. 8. Schreck S. 7. Shipnoski N. 11. Yildirim A.
Coaches
Enochs J.	Kniat M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 1.

Recent matches Regensburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arminia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Regensburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Verl	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Unterhaching	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Saarbrücken - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWT
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
12.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Rödinghausen	0:3 ✺
06.01.24	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
04.02.23	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
24.07.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	0:3
09.02.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	6:0
24.08.19	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
08.02.19	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3
01.09.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	5:3

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