Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect
World	Onefootball


	Karlsruher		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.75
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.44	5	7.31
	1.43	4.78	7.09	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7	Watch
	1.43	4.85	6.8	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	4.78 ↓ (4.9)	6.93 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
66.6%

Draw
19.8%

Jahn Regensburg
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.2%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

13.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlsruher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jahn Regensburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	13.2%	2.6%

Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Karlsruher will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 4. Beifus M. 28. Franke M. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 17. Rapp N. 6. Jensen L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 24. Schleusener F. 11. Zivzivadze B.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 3. Hein B. 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 14. Ziegele R. 8. Geipl A. (C) 29. Huth E. 10. Viet C. 33. Proger K. 9. Hottmann E. 30. Kuhlwetter C.
Substitutes
25. Egloff L. 35. Geller R. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 16. Pfeiffer L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 8. Rupp N. 37. Salz D. 39. Zengin E.	18. Anspach N. 4. Ballas F. 25. Bauer J. 13. Bittroff A. 21. Eisenhuth T. 20. Ganaus N. 27. Kother D. 40. Ouro-Tagba M. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G)
Coaches
Eichner C.	Patz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Jensen L. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Kuhlwetter C. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schleusener F. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Zivzivadze B. (Pen),
49', 1 - 2, Hottmann E. ⚽, Hein B. (A),
55', Bulic R. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, Wanitzek M. (Pen),
57', Rapp N. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
59', Geipl A. 🟨,
62', 3 - 2, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Pfeiffer L. (A),
68', Schleusener F. 🟨,
74', Pfeiffer L. 🟨,
77', Huth E. ↓, Ouro-Tagba M. ↑,
77', Hottmann E. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
78', Jensen L. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
82', Burnic D. 🟨,
86', 4 - 2, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pfeiffer L. (A),
87', Geipl A. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
90', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
90', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Salz D. ↑,
90', Schleusener F. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 2.

Karlsruher is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Regensburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Karlsruher is a favorite.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Hunziker A. (Hip Injury) Kobald C. (Abdominal strain) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Regensburg: Meyer M. (Broken ankle) Saller B. (Groin Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Karlsruher: Bormuth R. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.24	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Karlsruher - Augsburg	2:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Karlsruher - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Jahn Regensburg	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Schalke 04 - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.02.23	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	1:0
20.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	0:6
13.03.22	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	1:1
02.10.21	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	2:2
07.02.21	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	0:0
03.10.20	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	1:0
17.06.20	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	2:1

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