Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sportschau, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.9	4	3.5
	1.9	4	3.4	Watch
	1.98	4.07	3.73
	1.91	4.05	3.59	Watch
	1.83	4	3.5
	1.9	4.1	3.55	Watch
	1.9	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2)	4 ↑ (3.9)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
49.6%

Draw
23.6%

Darmstadt
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Hamburger SV - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 20. Richter M. 8. Elfadli D. 17. Karabec A. 18. Jatta B. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Muller A. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 30. Hefti S. 33. Katterbach N. 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 27. Selke D. 49. Stange O.	30. Brunst A. (G) 3. Bueno G. 23. Gjasula K. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 8. Marseiler L. 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M. 29. Vilhelmsson O.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
31', Forster P. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Vukotic A. ⚽, Corredor K. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Karabec A. ⚽, Elfadli D. (A),
45+1', Hornby F. 🟨,
45+1', Vukotic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 2 - 2, Corredor K. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
65', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
65', Jatta B. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
72', Hornby F. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
72', Richter M. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
72', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
78', Forster P. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
78', Lopez S. ↓, Thiede M. ↑,
81', Poreba L. 🟨,
87', Corredor K. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
88', Elfadli D. 🟨,
89', Marseiler L. 🟨,
90', Dompe J. ↓, Stange O. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.

Recent matches Hamburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darmstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hamburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Reis L. (Thigh Injury) Zumberi V. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLTL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hannover - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	1:1
19.08.22	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	1:2
06.02.22	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	0:5
22.08.21	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2
09.04.21	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	1:2
12.12.20	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	1:2
21.12.19	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	2:2

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